While Large Language Models (LLMs) excel in diverse domains, their validity in event reasoning remains underexplored. Most existing works merely stagnate at assessing LLMs’ event reasoning with a single event relational type or reasoning format, failing to conduct a complete evaluation and provide a practical solution for capability enhancement. In this paper, we propose PIPER, the first comprehensive benchmark for Probing Into the Performance boundary of LLMs in Event Reasoning. Motivated by our evaluation observations and error patterns analysis, we meticulously craft 10K diverse instruction-tuning demonstrations to alleviate event reasoning-oriented data scarcity. Additionally, a novel Debiasing and Distillation-Enhanced Supervised Fine-Tuning (D²E-SFT) strategy is presented, which facilitates adhering to context and fixating significant contextual event information to elevate the event reasoning capability. Specifically, D²E-SFT removes the given sample’s context to construct an imagined sample, subtracting its logits to mitigate the bias of neglecting context and improve contextual faithfulness. To guide the model in emphasizing significant contextual event information, D²E-SFT employs a context-refined sample to achieve self-distillation with the alignment of logits. Extensive experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our data and strategy in expanding the performance boundary of event reasoning.

Multimodal multi-label emotion recognition (MMER) aims to identify the concurrent presence of multiple emotions in multimodal data. Existing studies primarily focus on improving fusion strategies and modeling modality-to-label dependencies. However, they often overlook the impact of aleatoric uncertainty, which is the inherent noise in the multimodal data and hinders the effectiveness of modality fusion by introducing ambiguity into feature representations.To address this issue and effectively model aleatoric uncertainty, this paper proposes Latent emotional Distribution Decomposition with Uncertainty perception (LDDU) framework from a novel perspective of latent emotional space probabilistic modeling. Specifically, we introduce a contrastive disentangled distribution mechanism within the emotion space to model the multimodal data, allowing for the extraction of semantic features and uncertainty. Furthermore, we design an uncertainty-aware fusion multimodal method that accounts for the dispersed distribution of uncertainty and integrates distribution information. Experimental results show that LDDU achieves state-of-the-art performance on the CMU-MOSEI and M³ED datasets, highlighting the importance of uncertainty modeling in MMER. Code is available at https://github.com/201983290498/lddu_mmer.git.