@inproceedings{vickers-church-2024-comparing,
    title = "Comparing Edge-based and Node-based Methods on a Citation Prediction Task",
    author = "Vickers, Peter  and
      Church, Kenneth",
    editor = "Al-Onaizan, Yaser  and
      Bansal, Mohit  and
      Chen, Yun-Nung",
    booktitle = "Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2024",
    month = nov,
    year = "2024",
    address = "Miami, Florida, USA",
    publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
    url = "https://preview.aclanthology.org/jlcl-multiple-ingestion/2024.findings-emnlp.370/",
    doi = "10.18653/v1/2024.findings-emnlp.370",
    pages = "6369--6388",
    abstract = "Citation Prediction, estimating whether paper a cites paper b, is particularly interesting in a forecasting setting where the model is trained on papers published before time t, and evaluated on papers published after h, where h is the forecast horizon. Performance improves with t (larger training sets) and degrades with h (longer forecast horizons). The trade-off between edge-based methods and node-based methods depends on t. Because edges grow faster than nodes, larger training sets favor edge-based methods.We introduce a new forecast-based Citation Prediction benchmark of 3 million papers to quantify these trends.Our benchmark shows that desirable policies for combining edge- and node-based methods depend on h and t.We release our benchmark, evaluation scripts, and embeddings."
}