IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data

Tao Feng, Lizhen Qu, Niket Tandon, Gholamreza Haffari


Abstract
Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific research, yet traditional statistical algorithms face significant challenges, including expensive data collection, redundant computation for known relations, and unrealistic assumptions. While recent LLM-based methods excel at identifying commonly known causal relations, they fail to uncover novel relations. We introduce IRIS (Iterative Retrieval and Integrated System for Real-Time Causal Discovery), a novel framework that addresses these limitations. Starting with a set of initial variables, IRIS automatically collects relevant documents, extracts variables, and uncovers causal relations. Our hybrid causal discovery method combines statistical algorithms and LLM-based methods to discover known and novel causal relations. In addition to causal discovery on initial variables, the missing variable proposal component of IRIS identifies and incorporates missing variables to expand the causal graphs. Our approach enables real-time causal discovery from only a set of initial variables without requiring pre-existing datasets.
Anthology ID:
2025.acl-long.463
Volume:
Proceedings of the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)
Month:
July
Year:
2025
Address:
Vienna, Austria
Editors:
Wanxiang Che, Joyce Nabende, Ekaterina Shutova, Mohammad Taher Pilehvar
Venue:
ACL
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
9400–9428
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingestion-acl-25/2025.acl-long.463/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Tao Feng, Lizhen Qu, Niket Tandon, and Gholamreza Haffari. 2025. IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data. In Proceedings of the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), pages 9400–9428, Vienna, Austria. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data (Feng et al., ACL 2025)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingestion-acl-25/2025.acl-long.463.pdf