Financial news plays a central role in shaping investor sentiment and short-term dynamics in commodity markets. Many downstream financial applications—such as commodity price prediction or sentiment modeling—therefore rely on the ability to automatically identify news articles that are relevant to specific assets. However, obtaining large labeled corpora for financial text classification tasks is costly, and transformer-based classifiers such as RoBERTa often degrade significantly in low-data regimes. Our results show that appropriately prompted out-of-the-box large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance even in low-data regimes. Furthermore, we propose LabelFusion, a hybrid architecture that combines the output of a prompt-engineered LLM with contextual embeddings produced by a fine-tuned RoBERTa encoder through a lightweight multilayer perceptron (MLP) voting layer. Evaluated on a ten-class multi-label subset of the Reuters-21578 corpus, LabelFusion achieves a macro F1 score of 96.0% and an accuracy of 92.3% when trained on the full dataset, outperforming both standalone RoBERTa (F1 94.6%) and the standalone LLM (F1 93.9%). In low- to mid-data regimes, however, the LLM alone proves surprisingly competitive, achieving an F1 score of 75.9% even in a zero-shot setting and consistently outperforming LabelFusion until approximately 80% of the training data is available. These results suggest that LLM-only prompting represents the preferred strategy under annotation constraints, whereas LabelFusion becomes the most effective solution once sufficient labeled data is available to train the encoder component. The code is available in an anonymized repository.

By capturing the prevailing sentiment and market mood, textual data has become increasingly vital for forecasting commodity prices, particularly in metal markets. However, the effectiveness of lightweight, finetuned large language models (LLMs) in extracting predictive signals for aluminum prices—and the specific market conditions under which these signals are most informative—remains under-explored. This study generates monthly sentiment scores from English and Chinese news headlines (Reuters, Dow Jones Newswires, and China News Service) and integrates them with traditional tabular data, including base metal indices, exchange rates, inflation rates, and energy prices. We evaluate the predictive performance and economic utility of these models through long-short simulations on the Shanghai Metal Exchange from 2007 to 2024. Our results demonstrate that during periods of high volatility, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models incorporating sentiment data from a finetuned Qwen3 model (Sharpe ratio 1.04) significantly outperform baseline models using tabular data alone (Sharpe ratio 0.23). Subsequent analysis elucidates the nuanced roles of news sources, topics, and event types in aluminum price forecasting

Few-shot methods for accurate modeling under sparse label-settings have improved significantly. However, the applications of few-shot modeling in natural language processing remain solely in the field of document classification. With recent performance improvements, supervised few-shot methods, combined with a simple topic extraction method pose a significant challenge to unsupervised topic modeling methods. Our research shows that supervised few-shot learning, combined with a simple topic extraction method, can outperform unsupervised topic modeling techniques in terms of generating coherent topics, even when only a few labeled documents per class are used. The code is available at the following link: https://github.com/AnFreTh/STREAM

Topic modeling is a widely used technique to analyze large document corpora. With the ever-growing emergence of scientific contributions in the field, non-technical users may often use the simplest available software module, independent of whether there are potentially better models available. We present a Simplified Topic Retrieval, Exploration, and Analysis Module (STREAM) for user-friendly topic modelling and especially subsequent interactive topic visualization and analysis. For better topic analysis, we implement multiple intruder-word based topic evaluation metrics. Additionally, we publicize multiple new datasets that can extend the so far very limited number of publicly available benchmark datasets in topic modeling. We integrate downstream interpretable analysis modules to enable users to easily analyse the created topics in downstream tasks together with additional tabular information.The code is available at the following link: https://github.com/AnFreTh/STREAM