LLM-Based Behavior Prediction for Social Media Users with Continuous Memory

Kun Li, Chengwei Dai, Wei Zhou, Songlin Hu


Abstract
Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in simulating social roles and generating human-like behaviors. However, their effectiveness in predicting real-world user behavior under continuous memory accumulation remains largely unexplored. Most existing studies focus on short-term interactions or static personas, neglecting the dynamic nature of users’ historical experiences in social media environments. To address this gap, we introduce FineRob, a novel dataset for fine-grained behavior prediction of social media users, which includes long-term memory traces from 1,866 users across three platforms. Each behavior is decomposed into three elements: object, type, and content, resulting in 78.6k QA records.We identify that as memory accumulates, prediction accuracy drops significantly due to the model’s difficulty in accessing detailed historical information. We further propose the OM-CoT fine-tuning framework to enhance the model’s ability to process and utilize long-term memory. Experimental results show that our method effectively reduces the performance degradation caused by memory growth, improving fine-grained behavior prediction. .
Anthology ID:
2025.ijcnlp-long.27
Volume:
Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing and the 4th Conference of the Asia-Pacific Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics
Month:
December
Year:
2025
Address:
Mumbai, India
Editors:
Kentaro Inui, Sakriani Sakti, Haofen Wang, Derek F. Wong, Pushpak Bhattacharyya, Biplab Banerjee, Asif Ekbal, Tanmoy Chakraborty, Dhirendra Pratap Singh
Venues:
IJCNLP | AACL
SIG:
Publisher:
The Asian Federation of Natural Language Processing and The Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
459–474
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-ijcnlp-aacl/2025.ijcnlp-long.27/
DOI:
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Cite (ACL):
Kun Li, Chengwei Dai, Wei Zhou, and Songlin Hu. 2025. LLM-Based Behavior Prediction for Social Media Users with Continuous Memory. In Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing and the 4th Conference of the Asia-Pacific Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 459–474, Mumbai, India. The Asian Federation of Natural Language Processing and The Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
LLM-Based Behavior Prediction for Social Media Users with Continuous Memory (Li et al., IJCNLP-AACL 2025)
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PDF:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-ijcnlp-aacl/2025.ijcnlp-long.27.pdf