Measuring scalar constructs in social science with LLMs

Hauke Licht, Rupak Sarkar, Patrick Y. Wu, Pranav Goel, Niklas Stoehr, Elliott Ash, Alexander Miserlis Hoyle


Abstract
Many constructs that characterize language, like its complexity or emotionality, have a naturally continuous semantic structure; a public speech is not just “simple” or “complex”, but exists on a continuum between extremes. Although large language models (LLMs) are an attractive tool for measuring scalar constructs, their idiosyncratic treatment of numerical outputs raises questions of how to best apply them. We address these questions with a comprehensive evaluation of LLM-based approaches to scalar construct measurement in social science. Using multiple datasets sourced from the political science literature, we evaluate four approaches: unweighted direct pointwise scoring, aggregation of pairwise comparisons, token-probability-weighted pointwise scoring, and finetuning. Our study finds that pairwise comparisons made by LLMs produce better measurements than simply prompting the LLM to directly output the scores, which suffers from bunching around arbitrary numbers. However, taking the weighted mean over the token probability of scores further improves the measurements over the two previous approaches. Finally, finetuning smaller models with as few as 1,000 training pairs can match or exceed the performance of prompted LLMs.
Anthology ID:
2025.emnlp-main.1635
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
November
Year:
2025
Address:
Suzhou, China
Editors:
Christos Christodoulopoulos, Tanmoy Chakraborty, Carolyn Rose, Violet Peng
Venue:
EMNLP
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Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
32132–32159
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-emnlp/2025.emnlp-main.1635/
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Cite (ACL):
Hauke Licht, Rupak Sarkar, Patrick Y. Wu, Pranav Goel, Niklas Stoehr, Elliott Ash, and Alexander Miserlis Hoyle. 2025. Measuring scalar constructs in social science with LLMs. In Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 32132–32159, Suzhou, China. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Measuring scalar constructs in social science with LLMs (Licht et al., EMNLP 2025)
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