Knowing When to Abstain: Medical LLMs Under Clinical Uncertainty

Sravanthi Machcha, Sushrita Yerra, Sahil Gupta, Aishwarya Sahoo, Sharmin Sultana, Hong Yu, Zonghai Yao


Abstract
Current evaluation of large language models (LLMs) overwhelmingly prioritizes accuracy; however, in real-world and safety-critical applications, the ability to abstain when uncertain is equally vital for trustworthy deployment. We introduce a unified benchmark and evaluation protocol for abstention in medical multiple-choice question answering (MCQA), integrating conformal prediction, adversarial question perturbations, and explicit abstention options. Our systematic evaluation of both open- and closed-source LLMs reveals that even state-of-the-art, high-accuracy models often fail to abstain when uncertain. Notably, providing explicit abstention options consistently increases model uncertainty and safer abstention, far more than input perturbations, while scaling model size or advanced prompting brings little improvement. These findings highlight the central role of abstention mechanisms for trustworthy LLM deployment and offer practical guidance for improving safety in high-stakes applications.
Anthology ID:
2026.eacl-long.291
Volume:
Proceedings of the 19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)
Month:
March
Year:
2026
Address:
Rabat, Morocco
Editors:
Vera Demberg, Kentaro Inui, Lluís Marquez
Venue:
EACL
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
6153–6182
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-eacl/2026.eacl-long.291/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Sravanthi Machcha, Sushrita Yerra, Sahil Gupta, Aishwarya Sahoo, Sharmin Sultana, Hong Yu, and Zonghai Yao. 2026. Knowing When to Abstain: Medical LLMs Under Clinical Uncertainty. In Proceedings of the 19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), pages 6153–6182, Rabat, Morocco. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Knowing When to Abstain: Medical LLMs Under Clinical Uncertainty (Machcha et al., EACL 2026)
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PDF:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-eacl/2026.eacl-long.291.pdf