ClimateCause: Complex and Implicit Causal Structures in Climate Reports

Liesbeth Allein, Nataly Pineda-Casta\~neda, Andrea Rocci, Marie-Francine Moens


Abstract
Understanding climate change requires reasoning over complex causal networks. Yet, existing causal discovery datasets predominantly capture explicit, direct causal relations. We introduce ClimateCause, a manually expert-annotated dataset of higher-order causal structures from science-for-policy climate reports, including implicit and nested causality. Cause-effect expressions are normalized and disentangled into individual causal relations to facilitate graph construction, with unique annotations for cause-effect correlation, relation type, and spatiotemporal context. We further demonstrate ClimateCause’s value for quantifying readability based on the semantic complexity of causal graphs underlying a statement. Finally, large language model benchmarking on correlation inference and causal chain reasoning highlights the latter as a key challenge.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-acl.1272
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2026
Month:
July
Year:
2026
Address:
San Diego, California, United States
Editors:
Maria Liakata, Viviane P. Moreira, Jiajun Zhang, David Jurgens
Venue:
Findings
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Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
25458–25488
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl/2026.findings-acl.1272/
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Cite (ACL):
Liesbeth Allein, Nataly Pineda-Casta\~neda, Andrea Rocci, and Marie-Francine Moens. 2026. ClimateCause: Complex and Implicit Causal Structures in Climate Reports. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2026, pages 25458–25488, San Diego, California, United States. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
ClimateCause: Complex and Implicit Causal Structures in Climate Reports (Allein et al., Findings 2026)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl/2026.findings-acl.1272.pdf
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