CAMO: An Agentic Framework for Automated Causal Discovery from Micro Behaviors to Macro Emergence in LLM Agent Simulations

Xiangning Yu, Yuwei Guo, Yuqi Hou, Xiao Xue, Qun Ma


Abstract
LLM-empowered agent simulations are increasingly used to study social emergence, yet the micro-to-macro causal mechanisms behind macro outcomes often remain unclear. This is challenging because emergence arises from intertwined agent interactions and meso-level feedback and nonlinearity, making generative mechanisms hard to disentangle. To this end, we introduce CAMO, an automated Causal discovery framework from Micro behaviors to Macro Emergence in LLM agent simulations. CAMO converts mechanistic hypotheses into computable factors grounded in simulation records and learns a compact causal representation centered on an emergent target . CAMO outputs a computable Markov boundary and a minimal upstream explanatory subgraph, yielding interpretable causal chains and actionable intervention levers. It also uses simulator-internal counterfactual probing to orient ambiguous edges and revise hypotheses when evidence contradicts the current view. Experiments across four emergent settings demonstrate the promise of CAMO.[The code is available at an anonymous link: <https://anonymous.4open.science/r/CAMO-0E6C/>.]
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-acl.1224
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2026
Month:
July
Year:
2026
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San Diego, California, United States
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Maria Liakata, Viviane P. Moreira, Jiajun Zhang, David Jurgens
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Findings
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Association for Computational Linguistics
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24447–24479
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl/2026.findings-acl.1224/
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Cite (ACL):
Xiangning Yu, Yuwei Guo, Yuqi Hou, Xiao Xue, and Qun Ma. 2026. CAMO: An Agentic Framework for Automated Causal Discovery from Micro Behaviors to Macro Emergence in LLM Agent Simulations. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2026, pages 24447–24479, San Diego, California, United States. Association for Computational Linguistics.
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CAMO: An Agentic Framework for Automated Causal Discovery from Micro Behaviors to Macro Emergence in LLM Agent Simulations (Yu et al., Findings 2026)
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