Learning Uncertainty from Sequential Internal Dispersion in Large Language Models

Ponhvoan Srey, Xiaobao Wu, Cong-Duy T Nguyen, Anh Tuan Luu


Abstract
Uncertainty estimation is a promising approach to detect hallucinations in large language models (LLMs). Recent approaches commonly depend on model internal states to estimate uncertainty. However, they suffer from strict assumptions on how hidden states should evolve across layers, and from information loss by solely focusing on last or mean tokens. To address these issues, we present Sequential Internal Variance Representation (SIVR), a supervised hallucination detection framework that leverages token-wise, layer-wise features derived from hidden states. SIVR adopts a more basic assumption that uncertainty manifests in the degree of dispersion or variance of internal representations across layers, rather than relying on specific assumptions, which makes the method model and task agnostic. It additionally aggregates the full sequence of per-token variance features, learning temporal patterns indicative of factual errors and thereby preventing information loss. Experimental results demonstrate SIVR consistently outperforms strong baselines. Most importantly, SIVR enjoys stronger generalisation and avoids relying on large training sets, highlighting the potential for practical deployment.
Anthology ID:
2026.acl-long.1862
Volume:
Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)
Month:
July
Year:
2026
Address:
San Diego, California, United States
Editors:
Maria Liakata, Viviane P. Moreira, Jiajun Zhang, David Jurgens
Venue:
ACL
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Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
40088–40106
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl/2026.acl-long.1862/
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Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Ponhvoan Srey, Xiaobao Wu, Cong-Duy T Nguyen, and Anh Tuan Luu. 2026. Learning Uncertainty from Sequential Internal Dispersion in Large Language Models. In Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), pages 40088–40106, San Diego, California, United States. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Learning Uncertainty from Sequential Internal Dispersion in Large Language Models (Srey et al., ACL 2026)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl/2026.acl-long.1862.pdf
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