@inproceedings{topol-2026-quantifying,
    title = "Quantifying {LLM} Safety Degradation Under Repeated Attacks Using Survival Analysis",
    author = "Topol, Zvi",
    editor = "Chang, Kai-Wei  and
      Mehrabi, Ninareh  and
      Krishna, Satyapriya  and
      Das, Anubrata  and
      Dhamala, Jwala  and
      Cao, Yang Trista  and
      Kumarage, Tharindu  and
      Ramakrishna, Anil  and
      Christodoulopoulos, Christos  and
      Wan, Yixin  and
      Galystan, Aram  and
      Kumar, Anoop  and
      Gupta, Rahul",
    booktitle = "Proceedings of the 6th Workshop on Trustworthy {NLP} ({T}rust{NLP} 2026)",
    month = jul,
    year = "2026",
    address = "San Diego, California",
    publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
    url = "https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl-workshops/2026.trustnlp-main.5/",
    pages = "64--72",
    ISBN = "979-8-89176-418-7",
    abstract = "Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in wide range of applications, yet remain vulnerable to adversarial jailbreak attacks that circumvent their safety guardrails.Existing evaluation frameworks typically report binary success/failure metrics, failing to capture the temporal dynamics of how attacks succeed under persistent adversarial pressure. This preliminary work proposes a novel evaluation framework that applies survival analysis techniques to characterize LLM jailbreak vulnerability. Our approach models the ``time-to-jailbreak'' as a survival outcome, enabling estimation of hazard functions, survival curves, and risk factors associated with successful attacks. We evaluate three LLMs against a sub-set of prompts from the HarmBench dataset spanning three attack categories. Our analysis reveals that models exhibit distinct vulnerability profiles: while one model demonstrates rapid degradation under iterative attacks, the wo other models show consistent moderate vulnerability. Our framework provides actionable insights for model and LLM applicaiton developers and establishes survival analysis as a rigorous methodology for LLM safety evaluation."
}