NLPGroup8 at SemEval-2026 Task 2: Diverse Ensembles and Hierarchical Transformers for Emotional State Prediction

Troy Arthur, Aidan Kelley, Sierra Reschke


Abstract
Our approach combines a diverse ensemble for Subtask 1 with a context-aware transformer aggregation architecture for temporal forecasting in Subtasks 2A and 2B. The ensemble achieved state-of-the-art performance for the Subtask 1 Valence metric, ranking first in Valence prediction. Our Subtask 2B independent architecture ranked second in Valence prediction and fourth in Arousal prediction among competitive submissions. We also report results for Subtask 2A, analyzing challenges our architecture faced with next-entry affect forecasting. These findings underscore the significance of our methodology for affective prediction, achieved without reliance on external affective datasets.
Anthology ID:
2026.semeval-1.56
Volume:
Proceedings of the 20th International Workshop on Semantic Evaluation (2026)
Month:
July
Year:
2026
Address:
San Diego, California, USA
Editors:
Ekaterina Kochmar, Debanjan Ghosh, Kai North, Mamoru Komachi
Venues:
SemEval | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
379–386
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl-workshops/2026.semeval-1.56/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Troy Arthur, Aidan Kelley, and Sierra Reschke. 2026. NLPGroup8 at SemEval-2026 Task 2: Diverse Ensembles and Hierarchical Transformers for Emotional State Prediction. In Proceedings of the 20th International Workshop on Semantic Evaluation (2026), pages 379–386, San Diego, California, USA. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
NLPGroup8 at SemEval-2026 Task 2: Diverse Ensembles and Hierarchical Transformers for Emotional State Prediction (Arthur et al., SemEval 2026)
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PDF:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl-workshops/2026.semeval-1.56.pdf
Supplementarymaterial:
 2026.semeval-1.56.SupplementaryMaterial.zip