Presupposition and Reasoning in Conditionals: A Theory-Based Study of Humans and LLMs

Tara Azin, Yongan Yu, Raj Singh, Olessia Jouravlev


Abstract
Presupposition projection in conditionals is central to theories of meaning and pragmatics, yet it remains largely unevaluated in large language models. We address this gap through a parallel behavioral study comparing human judgments and LLM predictions on a normed dataset of conditional sentences that controls the relation between the antecedent and the projected presupposition. We collect likelihood ratings from 120 participants and four LLMs under matched contextual conditions. Results show that humans integrate probabilistic and pragmatic cues in their judgment, whereas LLMs show variable alignment with human patterns. Using a linguistically motivated checklist within an LLM-as-a-Judge framework, we further evaluate model reasoning. We observe models that best match human ratings often lack coherent pragmatic reasoning, while models with stronger reasoning produce less human-like judgments. These findings suggest that LLMs’ performance on such tasks may result from surface pattern matching rather than pragmatic competence. Our findings highlight the importance of benchmarks grounded in linguistic theory for comparing humans and models.
Anthology ID:
2026.conll-main.26
Volume:
Proceedings of the 30th Conference on Computational Natural Language Learning
Month:
July
Year:
2026
Address:
San Diego, California, USA
Editors:
Claire Bonial, Yevgeni Berzak
Venues:
CoNLL | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
452–470
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl-workshops/2026.conll-main.26/
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Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Tara Azin, Yongan Yu, Raj Singh, and Olessia Jouravlev. 2026. Presupposition and Reasoning in Conditionals: A Theory-Based Study of Humans and LLMs. In Proceedings of the 30th Conference on Computational Natural Language Learning, pages 452–470, San Diego, California, USA. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Presupposition and Reasoning in Conditionals: A Theory-Based Study of Humans and LLMs (Azin et al., CoNLL 2026)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/ingest-acl-workshops/2026.conll-main.26.pdf