Comparing Edge-based and Node-based Methods on a Citation Prediction Task

Peter Vickers, Kenneth Church


Abstract
Citation Prediction, estimating whether paper a cites paper b, is particularly interesting in a forecasting setting where the model is trained on papers published before time t, and evaluated on papers published after h, where h is the forecast horizon. Performance improves with t (larger training sets) and degrades with h (longer forecast horizons). The trade-off between edge-based methods and node-based methods depends on t. Because edges grow faster than nodes, larger training sets favor edge-based methods.We introduce a new forecast-based Citation Prediction benchmark of 3 million papers to quantify these trends.Our benchmark shows that desirable policies for combining edge- and node-based methods depend on h and t.We release our benchmark, evaluation scripts, and embeddings.
Anthology ID:
2024.findings-emnlp.370
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2024
Month:
November
Year:
2024
Address:
Miami, Florida, USA
Editors:
Yaser Al-Onaizan, Mohit Bansal, Yun-Nung Chen
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
6369–6388
Language:
URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/icon-24-ingestion/2024.findings-emnlp.370/
DOI:
10.18653/v1/2024.findings-emnlp.370
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Peter Vickers and Kenneth Church. 2024. Comparing Edge-based and Node-based Methods on a Citation Prediction Task. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2024, pages 6369–6388, Miami, Florida, USA. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Comparing Edge-based and Node-based Methods on a Citation Prediction Task (Vickers & Church, Findings 2024)
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PDF:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/icon-24-ingestion/2024.findings-emnlp.370.pdf