Supervised Optimism Correction: Be Confident When LLMs Are Sure

Junjie Zhang, Rushuai Yang, Shunyu Liu, Ting-En Lin, Fei Huang, Yi Chen, Yongbin Li, Dacheng Tao


Abstract
In this work, we establish a novel theoretical connection between supervised fine-tuning and offline reinforcement learning under the token-level Markov decision process, revealing that large language models indeed learn an implicit Q-function for inference.Through this theoretical lens, we demonstrate that the widely used beam search method suffers from unacceptable over-optimism, where inference errors are inevitably amplified due to inflated Q-value estimations of suboptimal steps. To address this limitation, we propose **S**upervised **O**ptimism **C**orrection (SOC), which introduces a simple yet effective auxiliary loss for token-level Q-value estimations during supervised fine-tuning. Specifically, the auxiliary loss employs implicit value regularizationto boost model confidence in expert-demonstrated responses, thereby suppressing over-optimism toward insufficiently supervised responses.Extensive experiments on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including GSM8K, MATH, and GAOKAO, showcase the superiority of the proposed SOC with beam search across a series of open-source models.
Anthology ID:
2025.findings-acl.463
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025
Month:
July
Year:
2025
Address:
Vienna, Austria
Editors:
Wanxiang Che, Joyce Nabende, Ekaterina Shutova, Mohammad Taher Pilehvar
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
8867–8880
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.463/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Junjie Zhang, Rushuai Yang, Shunyu Liu, Ting-En Lin, Fei Huang, Yi Chen, Yongbin Li, and Dacheng Tao. 2025. Supervised Optimism Correction: Be Confident When LLMs Are Sure. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025, pages 8867–8880, Vienna, Austria. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Supervised Optimism Correction: Be Confident When LLMs Are Sure (Zhang et al., Findings 2025)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.463.pdf