DeFine: Decision-Making with Analogical Reasoning over Factor Profiles

Yebowen Hu, Xiaoyang Wang, Wenlin Yao, Yiming Lu, Daoan Zhang, Hassan Foroosh, Dong Yu, Fei Liu


Abstract
LLMs are ideal for decision-making thanks to their ability to reason over long contexts. However, challenges arise when processing speech transcripts that describe complex scenarios, as they are verbose and include repetition, hedging, and vagueness. E.g., during a company’s earnings call, an executive might project a positive revenue outlook to reassure investors, despite uncertainty regarding future earnings. It is crucial for LLMs to incorporate this uncertainty systematically when making decisions. In this paper, we introduce DeFine, a modular framework that constructs probabilistic factor profiles from complex scenarios. It then integrates these profiles with analogical reasoning, leveraging insights from similar past experiences to guide LLMs in making critical decisions in new situations. Our framework separates the tasks of quantifying uncertainty and incorporating it into LLM decision-making. This approach is particularly useful in areas such as consulting and financial deliberation, where making decisions under uncertainty is vital.
Anthology ID:
2025.findings-acl.238
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025
Month:
July
Year:
2025
Address:
Vienna, Austria
Editors:
Wanxiang Che, Joyce Nabende, Ekaterina Shutova, Mohammad Taher Pilehvar
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
4587–4603
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.238/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Yebowen Hu, Xiaoyang Wang, Wenlin Yao, Yiming Lu, Daoan Zhang, Hassan Foroosh, Dong Yu, and Fei Liu. 2025. DeFine: Decision-Making with Analogical Reasoning over Factor Profiles. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025, pages 4587–4603, Vienna, Austria. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
DeFine: Decision-Making with Analogical Reasoning over Factor Profiles (Hu et al., Findings 2025)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.238.pdf