Patterns Over Principles: The Fragility of Inductive Reasoning in LLMs under Noisy Observations

Chunyang Li, Weiqi Wang, Tianshi Zheng, Yangqiu Song


Abstract
Inductive reasoning, a cornerstone of human cognition, enables generalization from limited data but hasn’t yet been fully achieved by large language models (LLMs). While modern LLMs excel at reasoning tasks, their ability to maintain stable and consistent rule abstraction under imperfect observations remains underexplored. To fill this gap, in this work, we introduce **Robust Rule Induction**, a task that evaluates LLMs’ capability in inferring rules from data that are fused with noisy examples. To address this task, we further propose Sample-steered Rule Refinement (SRR), a method enhancing reasoning stability via observation diversification and execution-guided feedback. Experiments across arithmetic, cryptography, and list functions reveal: (1) SRR outperforms other methods with minimal performance degradation under noise; (2) Despite slight accuracy variation, LLMs exhibit instability under noise (e.g., 0 accuracy change with only 70 consistent score);(3) Counterfactual task gaps highlight LLMs’ reliance on memorized patterns over genuine abstraction. Our findings challenge LLMs’ reasoning robustness, revealing susceptibility to hypothesis drift and pattern overfitting, while providing empirical evidence critical for developing human-like inductive systems.
Anthology ID:
2025.findings-acl.1006
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025
Month:
July
Year:
2025
Address:
Vienna, Austria
Editors:
Wanxiang Che, Joyce Nabende, Ekaterina Shutova, Mohammad Taher Pilehvar
Venue:
Findings
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Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
19608–19626
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.1006/
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Cite (ACL):
Chunyang Li, Weiqi Wang, Tianshi Zheng, and Yangqiu Song. 2025. Patterns Over Principles: The Fragility of Inductive Reasoning in LLMs under Noisy Observations. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2025, pages 19608–19626, Vienna, Austria. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Patterns Over Principles: The Fragility of Inductive Reasoning in LLMs under Noisy Observations (Li et al., Findings 2025)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/display_plenaries/2025.findings-acl.1006.pdf