Truth or Twist? Optimal Model Selection for Reliable Label Flipping Evaluation in LLM-based Counterfactuals

Qianli Wang, Van Bach Nguyen, Nils Feldhus, Luis Felipe Villa-Arenas, Christin Seifert, Sebastian Möller, Vera Schmitt


Abstract
Counterfactual examples are widely employed to enhance the performance and robustness of large language models (LLMs) through counterfactual data augmentation (CDA). However, the selection of the judge model used to evaluate label flipping, the primary metric for assessing the validity of generated counterfactuals for CDA, yields inconsistent results. To decipher this, we define four types of relationships between the counterfactual generator and judge models: being the same model, belonging to the same model family, being independent models, and having an distillation relationship. Through extensive experiments involving two state-of-the-art LLM-based methods, three datasets, four generator models, and 15 judge models, complemented by a user study (n = 90), we demonstrate that judge models with an independent, non-fine-tuned relationship to the generator model provide the most reliable label flipping evaluations. Relationships between the generator and judge models, which are closely aligned with the user study for CDA, result in better model performance and robustness. Nevertheless, we find that the gap between the most effective judge models and the results obtained from the user study remains considerably large. This suggests that a fully automated pipeline for CDA may be inadequate and requires human intervention.
Anthology ID:
2025.inlg-main.5
Volume:
Proceedings of the 18th International Natural Language Generation Conference
Month:
October
Year:
2025
Address:
Hanoi, Vietnam
Editors:
Lucie Flek, Shashi Narayan, Lê Hồng Phương, Jiahuan Pei
Venue:
INLG
SIG:
SIGGEN
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
80–97
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URL:
https://preview.aclanthology.org/author-page-you-zhang-rochester/2025.inlg-main.5/
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Cite (ACL):
Qianli Wang, Van Bach Nguyen, Nils Feldhus, Luis Felipe Villa-Arenas, Christin Seifert, Sebastian Möller, and Vera Schmitt. 2025. Truth or Twist? Optimal Model Selection for Reliable Label Flipping Evaluation in LLM-based Counterfactuals. In Proceedings of the 18th International Natural Language Generation Conference, pages 80–97, Hanoi, Vietnam. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Truth or Twist? Optimal Model Selection for Reliable Label Flipping Evaluation in LLM-based Counterfactuals (Wang et al., INLG 2025)
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https://preview.aclanthology.org/author-page-you-zhang-rochester/2025.inlg-main.5.pdf