@inproceedings{li-2025-retrieval,
title = "Retrieval-Augmented Forecasting with Tabular Time Series Data",
author = "Li, Zichao",
editor = "Chang, Shuaichen and
Hulsebos, Madelon and
Liu, Qian and
Chen, Wenhu and
Sun, Huan",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 4th Table Representation Learning Workshop",
month = jul,
year = "2025",
address = "Vienna, Austria",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://preview.aclanthology.org/acl25-workshop-ingestion/2025.trl-1.16/",
pages = "192--199",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-268-8",
abstract = "This paper presents Retrieval-Augmented Forecasting (RAF), a novel framework for tabular time-series prediction that dynamically retrieves and integrates relevant historical table slices. RAF addresses three key limitations of existing methods: 1) schema rigidity through dynamic hashing of column metadata, 2) temporal myopia via cross-attention with learned decay, and 3) pipeline sub-optimality via end-to-end retriever-forecaster co-training. Experiments across macroeconomic (FRED-MD), financial (Yahoo Finance), and development (WorldBank) benchmarks demonstrate RAF{'}s superiority over six baselines, reducing sMAPE by 19.1-26.5{\%} while maintaining robustness to schema changes (+3.2{\%} sMAPE increase vs. +6.7-12.7{\%} for alternatives). The architecture{'}s computational overhead (1.8 vs. 1.2 hours/epoch vs. TFT) is justified by significant accuracy gains in critical scenarios like market shocks (61.7{\%} vs. 55.1{\%} directional accuracy)."
}
Markdown (Informal)
[Retrieval-Augmented Forecasting with Tabular Time Series Data](https://preview.aclanthology.org/acl25-workshop-ingestion/2025.trl-1.16/) (Li, TRL 2025)
ACL